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THURSDAY, JUNE 12, 2025
NATO prepares to add Finland and Sweden to northern defenses

Analysis

Kati Pohjanpalo, Niclas Rolander, & Natalia Drozdiak, Bloomberg
16 May, 2022, 08:30 pm
Last modified: 16 May, 2022, 10:21 pm

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NATO prepares to add Finland and Sweden to northern defenses

Stoltenberg says he can address Turkish enlargement concerns

Kati Pohjanpalo, Niclas Rolander, & Natalia Drozdiak, Bloomberg
16 May, 2022, 08:30 pm
Last modified: 16 May, 2022, 10:21 pm

NATO members rallied around Finland and Sweden on Sunday after they announced plans to join the alliance, marking another dramatic change in Europe's security architecture triggered by Russia's war in Ukraine. 

Parliaments in the Nordic nations debated the membership on Monday, with a large majority of lawmakers in each country now backing the bid. Over the weekend, most NATO foreign ministers who had gathered in Berlin embraced the bloc's northern enlargement, a process that requires unanimity among the 30 allies. 

With NATO membership "if we come under attack, we will get help. If another member state is attacked, we will help," Finnish Prime Minister Sanna Marin told lawmakers on Monday. "NATO's security guarantees would increase the deterrent impact of Finland's defenses considerably."

"One of the main tasks of Finland within NATO would be to ensure its own defenses," she said.

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The one country to voice concerns admitting the pair was Turkey, with Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu unhappy that Finland and, particularly, Sweden have had interactions with Kurdish militants who have been active in eastern Turkey. 

Sweden is sending a team of diplomats to Ankara for talks this week and NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said he expects to work through the last-minute wrinkles in the enlargement plan. 

"Turkey has made it clear that their intention is not to block membership," Stoltenberg told reporters in Berlin. He said he was confident Turkey's concerns won't delay the membership procedure, and that his aspiration "is still to have a quick and swift process."

Governments in Helsinki and Stockholm are set to deliver their formal applications at NATO's headquarters in Brussels later in the week once their respective parliaments have signed off. In Sweden, lawmakers spoke for a couple of hours, while in Finland the debate looked set to run into Tuesday before a plenary vote is likely.

Speaking to reporters in the Finnish capital on Monday, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell said Congress aims to ratify Finland's accession into NATO before the August recess. 

There's "strong" bipartisan support for its entry and a vote "won't be close," he said, after meeting with President Sauli Niinisto, adding "Finland punches above the weight of many existing NATO members."

Turkey caused a late tremor of anxiety for the two new applicants on Friday when it suddenly called attention to what it called their support for Kurdish "terrorists." President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's government had previously indicated that it would take a favorable view of their candidacy. 

Turkey has long complained of insufficient cooperation from NATO and European allies in its fight with the Kurdistan Workers' Party, or PKK, which is classed as a terrorist organization by the US and European Union, and the YPG, a related group that mainly operates in Syria.

Sanna Marin, left, and Sauli Niinisto hold a news conference in Helsinki, Finland, on May 15.Photographer: Heikki Saukkomaa/AFP/Getty Images/Bloomberg
Sanna Marin, left, and Sauli Niinisto hold a news conference in Helsinki, Finland, on May 15.Photographer: Heikki Saukkomaa/AFP/Getty Images/Bloomberg

"Turkey has conveyed its concerns during the NATO expansion meeting," Cavusoglu told reporters in Berlin. "To be specific, representatives of these two countries were holding meetings with PKK and YPG members and Sweden was also providing weapons."  

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken said he's "very confident" the allies will agree to back the expansion. Canada's foreign minister, Melanie Joly, said "the opportunity is greater than any bilateral issues" and called for a fast process to admit the applicants.

The move is another plank in the transformation of the European security landscape after Russia's attack on Ukraine prompted Germany to abandon its postwar reticence over defense spending and embark on a massive revamp of its military. 

"It's hard to imagine a bigger shift in the security environment than our neighboring country attacking a nation of 40 million people to violently overthrow its government," Finnish Foreign Minister Pekka Haavisto said on Sunday. "That demonstrated to us that the security architecture we've relied upon in Europe, such as the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, did not work and was not able to prevent war."

In Finland and Sweden, the Feb. 24 invasion prompted a shift in public opposition to NATO membership almost overnight, despite Russia warning that they could face consequences. 

Once the formal applications have been submitted, NATO has to decide whether to consider the request. It will then hold talks with the countries on their obligations as members before the NATO council signs a potential accession protocol. The lengthiest step is ratification by the 30 national parliaments and the whole process could take as long as a year. 

Annalena Baerbock, left, and Jens Stoltenberg speak in Berlin, on May 15.Photographer: Hannibal Hanschke/Getty Images/Bloomberg
Annalena Baerbock, left, and Jens Stoltenberg speak in Berlin, on May 15.Photographer: Hannibal Hanschke/Getty Images/Bloomberg

Stoltenberg said NATO would look at ways to protect the two countries while their application is being ratified. 

Sweden and Finland joining NATO isn't in itself a threat to Russia, which has no problems with either country, Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Monday, in his first public comment on their likely accession to the military alliance.

"But the expansion of military infrastructure to this territory will produce our response," Putin told a televised Kremlin summit of leaders of former Soviet states in a Moscow-led defense grouping. "We'll decide what that will be, based upon the threats created for us" by the two countries' entry into NATO, he said.

At the end of that process, NATO is getting two sophisticated, modern militaries with equipment that's already compatible with the gear used in the bloc, and an improved ability to defend the three Baltic states -- Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania. Finland guards a border with Russia roughly 1,300 kilometers (800 miles) long, has a reserve of 900,000 troops and is able to deploy 280,000 of them in war time. It's held on to a conscription-based system where most men and some women undergo military training lasting from six months to a year. 

The two have been partners and trained with NATO forces in the past, while remaining outside the scope of its collective security guarantees. German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock on Sunday went as far as to say they are already de-facto "NATO members, just without membership cards."

— With assistance by Leo Laikola, Katharina Rosskopf, and Arne Delfs

Disclaimer: This article first appeared on Bloomberg, and is published by special syndication arrangement.

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