Strong rebound in stocks as US-Iran ceasefire lifts investor confidence
Turnover surges 66%, DSEX increases by 161 points, and 93% of stocks post price gains
Breaking a prolonged bearish spell since the onset of the Middle East conflict, Dhaka stocks rallied strongly today (8 April), with turnover and indices surging as investor sentiment rebounded after the United States and Iran agreed to a conditional two-week ceasefire.
US President Donald Trump said late on Tuesday that he had agreed to suspend attacks on Iran for two weeks after holding discussions with Pakistan, easing fears of an extended conflict.
The benchmark DSEX index of the Dhaka Stock Exchange jumped 3.12%, or 161 points, marking its highest single-day gain since 15 February.
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According to DSE data, stocks had rallied sharply on 15 February, the first trading session after the BNP's landslide victory in the 13th national election, when DSEX climbed 200 points, or 3.71%, amid a surge in investor participation.
Today, turnover – a key market indicator – surged 66% to Tk991 crore, the highest in seven weeks. Market breadth was overwhelmingly positive, with 93% or 367 of listed stocks advancing and 21 hitting the upper price limit.
The Shariah-based DSES index rose 2.88%, or 30 points, to 1,075, while the blue-chip DS30 index gained 2.77%, or 55 points, to close at 2,026.
Market data showed stocks opened sharply higher, with the DSEX rising 140 points within the first three minutes of trading. The upward momentum persisted throughout the session, closing at 5,317 points with a strong gain.
Following the outbreak of the US-Israel war on Iran on 28 February, the country's stock market entered a bearish phase, with most trading sessions ending in declines as persistent sell-offs eroded equity values amid fears of a prolonged conflict and its adverse economic impact.
Market insiders said investors had largely stayed on the sidelines in recent weeks due to prolonged uncertainty. The ceasefire announcement prompted a return of confidence, encouraging fresh inflows into equities.
They added that amid heavy sell-offs, many fundamentally strong stocks experienced significant value erosion. However, as the ceasefire reduced uncertainty, investor confidence improved, prompting a renewed flow of funds into the market.
EBL Securities, in its daily market commentary, said the capital bourse witnessed a strong resurgence as the announcement of a two-week ceasefire deal between Iran and the USA sparked optimism across the trading floor, triggering renewed accumulation of the beaten-down scrips in anticipation of improved market momentum amid easing geopolitical concerns.
"Market indices tracked a firm upward trajectory from the outset of the session with predominant buying interest, while investor participation strengthened steadily as the session progressed, driving broad-based price appreciation across most of the scrips," it added.
First Finance topped the gainers' list, with its shares rising 10% to close at Tk5.5 each – the maximum daily price increase – followed by ICB Islami Bank, which also gained 10% to Tk3.3, Bangas Limited up 10% to Tk134.2, BD Lamps up 9.96% to Tk157.8, and Khan Brothers PP Woven Bag Industries up 9.93% to Tk54.2.
Meanwhile, only 11 stocks declined. Techno Drugs led the losers, slipping 1.07% to Tk36.9 per share, followed by Apex Spinning Mills, Meghna PET Industries, Janata Insurance, and Summit Alliance Port.
On the sectoral front, pharmaceuticals and chemicals stocks accounted for the largest share of turnover at 15.6%, followed by engineering at 12.7% and banking at 12.6%. All sectors posted gains, with jute stocks exhibiting the most positive returns on the bourse.
The Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE) also ended higher, with its Selective Categories Index (CSCX) and All Share Price Index (CASPI) rising by 192.5 points and 328.3 points, respectively.
