Geopolitics and geoeconomics drive India's free trade agreement flurry

When India and New Zealand signed a Free Trade Agreement (FTA) in New Delhi yesterday (27 April), media attention focused mainly on tariffs and market access, as often happens on such occasions.

But what is often overlooked is the bigger picture of geopolitics and geoeconomics beneath bilateral trade, tariffs and non-tariff issues under FTAs.

The agreement with New Zealand is the seventh bilateral FTA India has signed in the last three and a half years.

With planned deals with the European Union and the United States, the total would rise to nine FTAs with 38 advanced economies, covering nearly 65–70% of global GDP.

For India, the common thread in these seven FTAs is support for exports, agricultural productivity, student mobility, skills, investment and services.

Under the FTA, New Zealand has committed $20 billion in investment in India. New Zealand invests nearly 8% of its GDP overseas annually, with total overseas investment valued at $422.6 billion as of March 2025.

There are two main elements to India's new approach.

First, it signals New Delhi's strategy of pursuing trade partnerships with developed economies that provide real market access for labour-intensive sectors at a time when the multilateral trading order is weakening and the world faces tariff wars and growing protectionism. 

Second, bilateral trade routes have taken precedence over regional trade groupings.

Indian Commerce Secretary Rajesh Agrawal summed up the new approach by saying India is forging partnerships with developed economies that deliver real market access for labour-intensive sectors and will create jobs while empowering youth, women and MSMEs.

New Zealand is the third member of the five Anglophone countries with which India has entered into an FTA. The other two are Britain (2025) and Australia (2022), while talks are continuing with Canada and the United States. These five countries are part of the "Five Eyes", an intelligence-sharing security grouping.

India is not a member of the Five Eyes and has not entered into any formal alliance with them.

Yet economically, New Delhi has steadily accelerated trade agreements with developed democracies closely aligned on security, technology, investment rules and supply chains.

This shows how India is increasingly engaging with some of the world's most advanced economies, which account for nearly 65-70% of global GDP.

At $49,380, New Zealand is among the higher-income economies in the Oceania region. India's total trade in goods and services with New Zealand reached $2.4 billion in 2024.

Two points stand out. First, India appears focused on gaining access to high-income consumers in developed countries. Second, the current volume of bilateral trade is of secondary importance.

India has far larger bilateral trade volumes with many other countries, including Bangladesh. But when it comes to FTAs, the priority appears to be the more lucrative markets of advanced economies. In 2024, New Zealand's imports stood at $47 billion, while exports were $42 billion.