Most Asian markets in retreat as US inflation data looms
Asian markets mostly fell Monday as investors turn their attention to a key US inflation report later in the week, hoping for a reading that will ease concerns about the Federal Reserve's interest rate plans.
While Wall Street and European shares enjoyed a bright end to last week, Asia continued its weak run, with China's economic struggles weighing on sentiment.
With few catalysts to drive activity, Wednesday's US consumer price index figures are a focal point, particularly as the Fed has insisted its future rate decisions would be driven by data.
Keep updated, follow The Business Standard's Google news channel
Traders have been in retreat over the past week after a string of readings suggested the economy and labour market remained resilient despite more than a year of monetary tightening.
That has revived talk that the central bank could lift rates again before the end of the year or keep them elevated for an extended period.
The bank policy board is due to meet next week.
"The data remains indicative of the fact that even if the Fed were to pause in September, they would potentially not close the doors to further tightening," said Saxo Group's Redmond Wong.
In early trade Monday, Hong Kong led losses, giving up more than one percent as it played catch-up with a regional retreat Friday, when the city was shut down by a heavy storm.
Tokyo, Sydney, Singapore, Taipei, Manila and Jakarta were also down, though Shanghai and Seoul posted small gains.
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen looked to calm worries that the long-running rate hikes would cause a recession in the world's top economy, saying she was optimistic it was on course for a soft landing.
"I am feeling very good about that prediction," she said Sunday. "I think you'd have to say we're on a path that looks exactly like that."
She added: "Every measure of inflation is on the road down."
On currency markets, the yen picked up after sinking last week to a 10-month low against the dollar, with support coming from comments seen as hawkish by Bank of Japan boss Kazuo Ueda.
He told the Yomiuri newspaper that policymakers would have a better idea later in the year about wage rises, a key data point for rate decisions.
The yen has tumbled around 10 percent owing to the BoJ's refusal to move away from its ultra-loose monetary policy, even as the Fed pushed borrowing costs to a two-decade high.
"In this economic cycle, major G10 central banks have typically begun raising interest rates when core inflation has risen by two percentage points above their inflation target," said Stephen Innes at SPI Asset Management.
"Japan finds itself precisely at that juncture. Reflecting on past experiences, many central banks tightened their monetary policies too late, initially viewing inflation increases as transitory.
"Therefore, the prevailing risks seem to lean toward the possibility of the BoJ taking further tightening measures within the next six months."
Key figures around 0230 GMT
- Tokyo - Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.2 percent at 32,544.04 (break)
- Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: DOWN 1.5 percent at 17,937.80
- Shanghai - Composite: UP 0.4 percent at 3,130.43
- Dollar/yen: DOWN at 146.60 yen from 147.81 yen on Friday
- Euro/dollar: UP at $1.0725 from $1.0702
- Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2500 from $1.2469
- Euro/pound: DOWN at 85.81 from 85.83 pence
- West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 0.6 percent at $86.96 per barrel
- Brent North Sea crude: DOWN 0.3 percent at $90.40 per barrel
- New York - Dow: UP 0.2 percent at 34,576.59 (close)
- London - FTSE 100: UP 0.5 percent at 7,478.19 (close)
