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TUESDAY, JUNE 24, 2025
US suspension of tariffs opens key opportunity for Bangladesh to pursue diplomatic, trade negotiations

Thoughts

Dr Selim Raihan
10 April, 2025, 08:55 pm
Last modified: 10 April, 2025, 09:09 pm

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US suspension of tariffs opens key opportunity for Bangladesh to pursue diplomatic, trade negotiations

In the short term, the suspension provides some relief to exporters by reducing the likelihood of order cancellations or deferrals

Dr Selim Raihan
10 April, 2025, 08:55 pm
Last modified: 10 April, 2025, 09:09 pm
Sketch of Prof Selim Raihan
Sketch of Prof Selim Raihan

The recent three-month suspension of US tariffs on Bangladeshi exports presents an important window of opportunity for the country. 

This temporary pause opens the door for Bangladesh to pursue focused diplomatic and trade negotiation engagement with the United States. In the short term, the suspension provides some relief to exporters by reducing the likelihood of order cancellations or deferrals. It also allows both the public and private sectors to undertake necessary preparations for any future tariff-related challenges.

Despite this reprieve, there are immediate concerns. The retention of the 10% baseline tariff poses a risk of reduced domestic demand in the U.S. market for Bangladeshi products, as higher prices could dampen consumer interest, particularly in price-sensitive segments. 

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Additionally, ongoing global market volatility, compounded by policy uncertainty in key economies, may further weaken buyer confidence and disrupt supply chains. These factors together could negatively impact Bangladesh's export performance in the US.

Donald Trump hits 90-day pause on tariffs for 'most nations' but increases China's levies to 125%

There may be some speculation that the 125% tariff imposed on Chinese products could create opportunities for Bangladesh, as some orders could be redirected. However, given the short time frame and the unpredictable nature of the global market, such prospects are unlikely to materialize within this limited period.

In light of the uncertain days ahead, Bangladesh must adopt a series of strategic measures. It is crucial to step up lobbying efforts in Washington by coordinating the activities of the Bangladesh Embassy, diplomatic missions, and expatriate business leaders to strengthen the country's voice. At the same time, if export volumes suffer, the government should consider short-term incentive packages to help affected exporters absorb the shock and maintain employment levels. Looking further ahead, there must be a concerted push toward diversifying the export basket and expanding into new markets beyond the United States and other traditional destinations, with a particular focus on Asian economies.

To make the most of this three-month period, several preparatory steps must be prioritized. 

US tariffs are still at historic high even after Trump's pause

First, the government should establish a high-level task force bringing together relevant stakeholders, including policymakers, exporters, industry associations, researchers, and diplomats, to develop and implement a practical, time-bound strategy for upcoming trade negotiations.

Second, it is equally important to build a structured framework for bilateral dialogue with the U.S., grounded in the priorities identified by the USTR—such as tariff liberalization, reduction of non-tariff barriers, and institutional reforms. This also presents an opportunity to reform Bangladesh's own tariff regime, which remains burdened by high customs duties and para-tariffs.

Third, institutional strengthening is another key priority. Agencies responsible for customs, quality control, market access, and product safety must enhance their capacity to meet international standards and facilitate smoother trade processes. 
Finally, the country must prepare for a worst-case scenario by developing contingency plans that include targeting alternative markets and promoting new product lines, to reduce over-reliance on a single market or sector.

This is a pivotal moment that demands strategic vision, inclusive coordination, and timely action. 


Disclaimer: The write up is taken from the author's Facebook handle

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Trump Tariffs / Trump Trade War / Bangladesh

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