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FRIDAY, MAY 09, 2025
The India-Pakistan clash and its far-reaching ripples

The Big Picture

TBS Report
08 May, 2025, 07:00 pm
Last modified: 08 May, 2025, 07:06 pm

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The India-Pakistan clash and its far-reaching ripples

The latest flare-up between India and Pakistan has regional consequences far beyond the battlefield, eroding trust, isolating neighbours, and dismantling Saarc’s already crumbling foundation

TBS Report
08 May, 2025, 07:00 pm
Last modified: 08 May, 2025, 07:06 pm
A child from Pakistan places his hand on barbed wire as he waits to go to Pakistan at the Attari-Wagah border crossing, after India revoked visas and suspended visa services to Pakistani citizens. Photo: Reuters
A child from Pakistan places his hand on barbed wire as he waits to go to Pakistan at the Attari-Wagah border crossing, after India revoked visas and suspended visa services to Pakistani citizens. Photo: Reuters

In the early hours of 7 May, Indian fighter jets roared into the skies above Balakot, Pakistan. The world awoke to another India-Pakistan crisis, but this time, it felt different. The airstrike, Operation Sindoor – described by Indian officials as a "precision counter-terror operation" – targeted what India called a "terrorist training facility" inside Pakistani territory. Pakistan dismissed the claim, accusing India of violating sovereignty and staging a provocation.

What began as a single airstrike quickly escalated into a diplomatic standoff. By afternoon, global headlines screamed of military escalations between two nuclear-armed nations. Foreign embassies in New Delhi and Islamabad were on high alert. Social media erupted with nationalism and fear in equal measure. The world held its breath.

Global reaction: A fragile peace handled with gloves

The response from global capitals was immediate. From Washington to Beijing, leaders pleaded for calm, aware that any further miscalculation could spiral into war.

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"The Secretary-General is very concerned about the Indian military operations across the Line of Control and international border. He calls for maximum military restraint from both countries," the UN chief's spokesperson said on Tuesday.

"The world cannot afford a military confrontation between India and Pakistan."

The US President, Donald Trump, also expressed his concern: "It's a shame, we just heard about it," Trump told reporters, at the White House. "I guess people knew something was going to happen based on a little bit of the past. They've been fighting for a long time."

"I just hope it ends very quickly," he added.

China also called for restraint from both sides. "China expresses regret over India's military actions this morning and is concerned about the current developments. China opposes all forms of terrorism," the Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson said in a statement.

"We call on both India and Pakistan to prioritise peace and stability, remain calm and restrained, and avoid taking actions that further complicate the situation."

The global concern was not performative. India and Pakistan have fought multiple wars and share a history steeped in mistrust, partition trauma, and territorial disputes – especially over Kashmir. That they both possess nuclear arsenals adds an unbearable weight to every escalation.

In this case, a single strike risked igniting a chain reaction. And as the world knows all too well, it does not take much for a border conflict to become an international crisis.

Regional repercussions

While the international community scrambled to contain the fallout, the regional consequences will most likely be more enduring. The 7 May strike did not just raise tensions – it quietly dealt the death blow to South Asia's most ambitious experiment in regional cooperation: the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation, or Saarc.

Saarc, founded in 1985, once held the promise of turning the world's most populous and diverse region into a bloc of mutual growth. But in reality, it has long been paralysed by the India-Pakistan rivalry.

After the 2016 Uri attack, India pulled out of the Saarc summit in Islamabad, leading to its cancellation. Since then, the body has existed more on paper than in practice. This latest military escalation was, in many ways, the final curtain.

Bhutan and Nepal, who once pinned hopes on regional trade and cooperation, have shifted attention to sub-regional groups like Bimstec or the BBIN initiative. Even Sri Lanka, once an active Saarc member, has turned inward, focusing on bilateral relations and economic recovery.

For ordinary South Asians, the demise of Saarc is not just a diplomatic failure. It is the loss of a dream. A platform meant to ease travel, trade, education exchange, and joint climate action has been undone by the political compulsions of two governments with a shared history of animosity.

The India-Pakistan conflict, especially when it flares into violence, is never just a bilateral issue. It spills across borders, institutions, and generations. The implications of the 7 May airstrike will linger for years ahead.

Globally, the episode reminded the world how fragile peace in South Asia remains. Regionally, it confirmed what many already feared: that Saarc is no longer a functional vehicle for regional unity.

Still, not all is lost. Civil society organisations in both countries have called for restraint and re-engagement. Youth voices from universities in Dhaka to Kathmandu are demanding a future not held hostage by the past.

But until the political leadership in New Delhi and Islamabad find a way to talk instead of strike, South Asia will remain a region full of potential, betrayed by its politics.

Analysis / Top News

India / Pakistan / war / Kashmir / nuclear

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