Junk status triggers massive sell-off in banking stocks as DSEX slides

The Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) witnessed a significant retreat today (3 May) as a massive sell-off in the banking sector, triggered by the formal downgrade of ten more lenders to the "Z" category, dragged down the benchmark index. 

The premier bourse felt the immediate impact of investor panic as nearly 42% of the country's listed banking sector shifted into the "junk" stock segment, a move that severely eroded market sentiment and tightened liquidity across the floor.

Infograph: TBS

The benchmark DSEX index plunged by 21 points, or 0.40%, to settle the session at 5,265. While the blue-chip DS30 index managed to edge up by a marginal 0.09% to reach 2,018, the broader market breadth remained negative. Out of the 396 issues traded, 180 declined, 165 advanced, and 51 remained unchanged. 

Market participation also saw a slight contraction, with daily turnover edging down by 4% to Tk829 crore compared to the previous session.

The day's downturn was almost entirely dictated by the banking sector. Market sources confirmed that ten banks – AB Bank, Al-Arafah Islami Bank, IFIC Bank, Mercantile Bank, NRB Bank, NRBC Bank, One Bank, Premier Bank, Rupali Bank, and United Commercial Bank – were moved to the "Z" category on Sunday. 

This followed their failure to declare any dividends for two consecutive years, a direct consequence of persistent financial irregularities and mounting bad loans. This latest wave of downgrades follows a similar move on 30 April, when Islami Bank, Standard Bank, and SBAC Bank were also pushed into the junk category for the same reasons.

Among the newly downgraded entities, Mercantile Bank suffered the most brutal correction, with its share price crashing by 18.18% to close at Tk7.20. AB Bank followed with an 11.32% decline, ending the day at Tk4.70. 

Other notable losers included Premier Bank, which shed 8.89% to settle at Tk4.10, and IFIC Bank, which dropped 6.12% to close at Tk4.60. Al-Arafah Islami Bank, NRB Bank, and One Bank also saw their share values erode by more than 4% each. Even the state-owned Rupali Bank recorded a 2.91% price fall.

Consequences of Z category

Analysts said the primary reason behind this unprecedented sector-wide dividend drought is a massive provision shortfall against classified loans and investments. Under Bangladesh Bank regulations, lenders suffering from provision deficits are strictly prohibited from declaring dividends. 

To maintain a semblance of regulatory compliance and prepare audit reports, several of these banks have reportedly availed deferral facilities from the central bank. While this allows them to postpone their immediate financial obligations, it does nothing to improve their actual profitability or their ability to reward shareholders, effectively trapping them in the junk category.

The transition to the "Z" category carries severe operational and psychological consequences for a listed firm. These stocks are widely perceived as high-risk assets due to their weak financial health and lack of corporate governance, analysts added.

Furthermore, trading rules for junk stocks are significantly more restrictive. Unlike "A" and "B" category stocks, which follow a T+2 settlement cycle, "Z" category transactions are settled on a T+3 basis. 

Additionally, these shares are ineligible for margin loans and are restricted to cash-only transactions. These barriers often lead to a sharp decline in trading volume and liquidity, making it difficult for investors to exit their positions.

With 15 out of the 36 listed banks now trading in the "Z" category, the systemic health of the banking sector has become a major concern for the capital market. 

Few outliers

Among the affected lenders, only a few managed to resist the downward trend today. The share prices of UCB and Standard Bank remained unchanged, while NRBC Bank emerged as the sole outlier in the sector, managing to post price appreciation despite the broader sell-off.

The banking rout mirrored the performance of the Chittagong Stock Exchange as well. The CSCX index ended 7 points lower at 9,086, while the CASPI shed 17 points to close at 14,788. Turnover at the port city bourse saw a more pronounced decline of 14%, settling at Tk41.35 crore. 

Major index draggers for the day included Mercantile Bank, Shahjalal Islami Bank, Trust Bank, NCC Bank, and Al-Arafah Islami Bank. 

NBFIs gain traction

Interestingly, while established banks faced a rout, the gainers' list today was dominated by non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs), many of which are themselves grappling with high non-performing loans and governance crises. 

Speculative trading appeared to drive these stocks higher, with Fareast Finance and Bangladesh Industrial Finance Company (BIFC) both hitting the 10% upper limit. Other gainers included International Leasing, Premier Leasing, FAS Finance, and Peoples Leasing. 

Market observers described this as a classic case of speculative 'junk-hunting' where investors shift capital into low-priced, volatile stocks following a crash in more fundamental sectors like banking.