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SUNDAY, JUNE 29, 2025
Study projects 388,300 Covid-19 deaths in Latin America and the Caribbean by October

Coronavirus chronicle

TBS Report
25 June, 2020, 06:15 pm
Last modified: 25 June, 2020, 06:19 pm

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Study projects 388,300 Covid-19 deaths in Latin America and the Caribbean by October

According to the forecast, Brazil is set to be the most affected country, with an expected 166,000 deaths, followed by Mexico with 88,000 deaths. Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guatemala and Peru follow this list of most affected countries

TBS Report
25 June, 2020, 06:15 pm
Last modified: 25 June, 2020, 06:19 pm
File Photo: Gravediggers carry a coffin during a collective burial of people that have passed away due to the coronavirus disease (Covid-19), at the Parque Taruma cemetery in Manaus, Brazil April 28, 2020. Picture taken April 28, 2020/ Reuters
File Photo: Gravediggers carry a coffin during a collective burial of people that have passed away due to the coronavirus disease (Covid-19), at the Parque Taruma cemetery in Manaus, Brazil April 28, 2020. Picture taken April 28, 2020/ Reuters

Around 388,300 people will die from Covid-19 in Latin America and the Caribbean by October, according to a projection by The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington.

"Several Latin American countries are facing explosive trajectories, while others are containing infections effectively," said IHME Director Dr Christopher Murray in a statement, reports the CNN.
"I cannot overemphasize the imperative of mitigation measures, such as mask-wearing and social distancing, especially since South American nations are facing increasing infections due to seasonality of Covid-19, an important factor contributing to the transmission of the virus," he added.

According to the forecast, Brazil is set to be the most affected country, with an expected 166,000 deaths, followed by Mexico with 88,000 deaths. Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guatemala and Peru follow this list of most affected countries. 

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The study expects Paraguay, Uruguay and Belize - countries with a current low number of cases - to have fewer than 1,000 deaths by October. 

IHME's study takes into account factors such as social distancing measures and the percentage of people wearing masks when leaving their homes -- a factor that can reduce transmission by 50 percent.

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